黄河流域甘肃段粮食生产全周期碳平衡测量与区划
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S181

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甘肃省基础研究计划项目软科学专项“甘肃省实施“强省会”战略增长极效应及实现路径研究”(22JR4ZA090)


Measurement and zoning of carbon balance in full life cycle of grain production in Gansu section of Yellow River basin
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    摘要:

    [目的] 对黄河流域甘肃段粮食生产全周期碳收支测度及分区开展研究,为该区粮食安全和生态保护提供科学支撑。[方法] 以黄河流域甘肃段为研究对象,基于2000—2022年多期数据,构建粮食生产全周期碳平衡框架,综合运用IPCC碳转换系数法、生命周期法与经验公式法,测量粮食生产碳收支水平,揭示其时空演变规律,运用“动-静”结合的方法划分碳平衡分区。[结果] ①研究区粮食生产碳排放呈“先增后减”趋势,2015年为转折点,碳吸收量整体呈增加态势;②时序演变上,动态平衡水平呈现“先降后升”的趋势,2015年后其平衡水平得以显著提升;空间格局上,各地区静态平衡水平空间差异化程度较高,至2022年超过90%的区域实现静态平衡; ③碳平衡分区呈现“西高东低”的分布格局,且2015年后以失衡良变为主导类型。[结论]流域内粮食生产碳平衡总体呈积极改善趋势,反映出区域治理在逐步完善,为提升粮食生产碳平衡能力,仍需进一步制定差异化的粮食绿色生产策略。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The study conducted a full life cycle carbon budget assessment and zoning of grain production in the Gansu section of the Yellow River basin to provide scientific support for regional grain security and ecological conservation. [Methods] This study focused on the Gansu section of the Yellow River basin. Based on multi-period data from 2000 to 2022, a carbon balance framework for the entire grain production cycle was constructed. The IPCC carbon conversion coefficient method, life cycle method, and empirical formula method were comprehensively used to measure the carbon budget level of grain production, reveal its spatiotemporal evolution patterns, and divide the carbon balance zones using a combination of dynamic and static methods. [Results] ① Carbon emissions from grain production in the study area showed a trend of ‘first increasing and then decreasing’, with 2015 as the turning point. The overall carbon sequestration exhibited a rising trend. ② In terms of temporal evolution, the dynamic balance level showed a trend of ‘first decreasing and then increasing’, and significantly improved after 2015. In terms of spatial pattern, the static balance level varied greatly across regions, with more than 90% of the regions achieving static balance by 2022. ③ The carbon balance zoning showed a distribution pattern of ‘high in the west and low in the east’. Since 2015, the dominant trend has been a favorable transition from imbalance to balance. [Conclusion] The overall carbon balance of grain production in the basin shows a positive trend of improvement, reflecting the gradual improvement of regional governance. To further improve the carbon balance of grain production, it is still necessary to develop differentiated green production strategies.

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羊丽,杨清.黄河流域甘肃段粮食生产全周期碳平衡测量与区划[J].水土保持通报,2025,45(5):167-176

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  • 收稿日期:2025-03-19
  • 最后修改日期:2025-06-04
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-07
  • 出版日期: 2025-10-18