黄河流域甘肃段粮食生产全周期碳收支测度及分区
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甘肃农业大学

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S181

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甘肃省基础研究计划-软科学专项(22JR4ZA090)


Measurement and zoning of carbon balance in the whole cycle of grain production in Gansu section of the Yellow River basin
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Gansu Basic Research Programme - Soft Science Special Project (22JR4ZA090)

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    摘要:

    [目的]黄河流域甘肃段作为西北地区主要的生态屏障核心区和粮食生产基地,其粮食生产碳平衡对区域经济可持续发展和“双碳”目标的实现具有重要意义。[方法]本研究聚焦黄河流域甘肃段,基于2000-2022年多期数据,构建粮食生产全周期碳收支框架,综合运用IPCC碳转换系数法、生命周期法与经验公式法,测量粮食生产碳收支水平,揭示其时空演变规律,运用“动-静”结合的方法划分碳平衡分区。[结果](1)研究区粮食生产碳排放呈“先增后减”趋势,2015年为转折点,碳吸收量整体呈增加态势;(2)时序演变上,动态平衡水平呈现“先降后升”的趋势,2015年后其平衡水平得以显著提升;空间格局上,各地区静态平衡水平空间差异化程度较高,至2022年超过80%的区域实现静态平衡;(3)碳平衡分区呈现“西高东低”的分布格局,且2015年后以失衡良变为主导类型。[结论]流域内粮食生产碳平衡总体呈积极改善趋势,反映区域治理在逐步完善,为提升粮食生产碳平衡能力,仍需进一步制定差异化的粮食绿色生产策略。

    Abstract:

    [Objective]As a major ecological barrier core area and food production base in Northwest China, the carbon balance of food production in the Gansu section of the Yellow River Basin is of great significance to the sustainable development of the regional economy and the realisation of the goal of “double carbon”. [Methods] This study focuses on the Gansu section of the Yellow River Basin. Based on multiple data periods from 2000 to 2022, a carbon balance framework for the entire grain production cycle is constructed. The IPCC carbon conversion coefficient method, life cycle method, and empirical formula method are comprehensively used to measure the carbon balance level of grain production, reveal its spatiotemporal evolution law, and divide the carbon balance zones using a combination of dynamic and static methods. [Results] (1) Carbon emissions from grain production in the study area show a trend of “increasing first and then decreasing”, with 2015 as the turning point, and the overall carbon sequestration is increasing; (2) In terms of temporal evolution, the dynamic balance level shows a trend of “decreasing first and then increasing”, and its balance level can be significantly improved after 2015; The spatial and temporal evolution of the carbon balance level shows a trend of “decreasing first and then increasing”, and the spatial balance level is significantly improved after 2015. In terms of spatial pattern, there is a high degree of spatial differentiation in the static balance level of each region, and more than 80% of the regions will be in static balance by 2022; (3) The carbon balance zoning shows a distribution pattern of “high in the west and low in the east”, and the imbalance becomes the dominant type after 2015. [Conclusion] The overall carbon balance of food production in the basin shows a positive trend of improvement, reflecting the gradual improvement of regional governance, and in order to improve the carbon balance of food production, it is still necessary to further develop differentiated green production strategies for food.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-03-19
  • 最后修改日期:2025-06-04
  • 录用日期:2025-06-04
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