河南省黄河流域耕地NPP时空变化特征及其驱动因子探测
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1.河南省资源环境调查一院;2.天津工业大学环境科学与工程学院;3.湖南师范大学地理科学学院

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Q948

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河南省重点研发与推广专项(222102320299);2024年河南省高等院校重点科研项目(24A630025);河南省软科学研究项目(232400410036);2025年度河南省软科学项目(242500410179);国家自然科学基金青年项目(42301300)


Spatiotemporal variation characteristics and driving factors of NPP of cultivated land in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province
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Key Research and Promotion Project of Henan Province (2221023202299); Key Research Project of Higher Education Institutions in Henan Province in 2024 (24A630025); Henan Province Soft Science Research Project (232400410036); Soft Science Project of Henan Province in 2025 (242500410179);National Natural Science Foundation Youth Fund (42301300)

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    摘要:

    [目的]客观揭示河南省黄河流域耕地净初级生产力(NPP)的时空演变特征与驱动因子,为有效协同区域耕地生产能力挖掘和流域生态环境保护提供科学依据。[方法]本文综合运用土地利用/覆盖数据集(CLUD)、MOD17A3H NPP数据集等多源数据,采用变异系数、Theil-Sen Median趋势分析、Mann-Kendall检验方法和Hurst指数等方法,揭示2000-2023年河南省黄河流域耕地NPP时空变化特征,并借助地理探测器模型对其影响因子进行探测。[结果](1)2000-2023年河南省黄河流域耕地NPP年均值为383.04g·m-2·a-1,以4.35 g·m-2·a-1的速度显著增加;空间分布总体呈现南高北低的特点,空间变异以较低波动和中度波动为主。(2)耕地NPP变化趋势以极显著增加为主,面积比例为43.61%,主要分布于研究区中西部;显著增加和不显著增加的耕地NPP面积分别为20.83%和22.76%。(3)耕地NPP的Hurst指数平均值为0.44,正向持续和负向持续面积比例分别为22.87%和77.13%;未来耕地NPP由增到减的区域面积最大,其面积比例为59.65%,广泛分布于各个地市。(4)年均气温、年均降水量、年均蒸发量和高程是影响耕地NPP的主要因子;气候条件、地形状况、社会经济等不同因子之间以非线性增强或双因子增强的交互作用方式共同影响耕地NPP。[结论]2000-2023年河南省黄河流域耕地NPP总体呈现波动增加,自然因素和人为因素共同影响着该区域耕地NPP,有效调控各因素以协同耕地利用与生态保护是河南省黄河流域特别是耕地NPP由增到减区的重要内容。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] This paper objectively revealed the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of cultivated land net primary productivity (NPP) in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province, providing a scientific basis for effectively coordinating the tapping of regional cultivated land production capacity and the ecological environmental protection of the river basin. [Methods] This paper comprehensively utilized multi-source data such as land use/cover dataset (CLUD) and MOD17A3H NPP dataset, and adopted methods such as coefficient of variation, Theil-Sen Median trend analysis, Mann-Kendall test method, and Hurst index to reveal the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of cultivated land NPP in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province from 2000 to 2023. The influencing factors were explored with the help of the Geodetector model. [Results] (1) From 2000 to 2023, the average annual NPP of cultivated land in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province was 383.04 g·m-2·a-1, which increased significantly at a rate of 4.35 g·m-2·a-1. The spatial distribution generally showed the characteristics of being higher in the south and lower in the north, and the spatial variation was mainly dominated by low and medium fluctuations. (2) The trend of cultivated land NPP change was mainly characterized by a very significant increase, with an area proportion of 43.61%, mainly distributed in the central and western parts of the study area. The cultivated land NPP areas with significant increase and insignificant increase were 20.83% and 22.76%, respectively. (3) The average Hurst index of cultivated land NPP was 0.44, and the proportions of positive and negative sustained areas were 22.87% and 77.13%, respectively. In the future, the area of cultivated land NPP increasing to decreasing will be the largest, with an area proportion of 59.65%, widely distributed in various cities. (4) The annual average temperature, annual average precipitation, annual average evaporation, and elevation were the main factors affecting the NPP of cultivated land. The interaction between different factors such as climate conditions, terrain conditions, and socio-economic factors collectively affected the NPP of cultivated land through nonlinear or dual factor enhancement. [Conclusion] From 2000 to 2023, the cultivated land NPP in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province showed an overall fluctuating increase. Both natural and human factors affected the cultivated land NPP in this region during this period. Effective regulation of various factors to coordinate cultivated land utilization and ecological protection is an important aspect of the Yellow River Basin in Henan Province, especially in areas where cultivated land NPP increases to decreases.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-23
  • 最后修改日期:2025-01-21
  • 录用日期:2025-01-22
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