粮食新质生产力水平测度、区域差异及耦合协调研究
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郑州大学管理学院

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F323

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河南省政府决策研究招标课题(2024JC003)


Research on the level measurement, regional differences and coupling coordination of new quality productivity of food
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Henan Provincial Government decision-making research bidding topics (Grant No.2024JC003)

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    摘要:

    [目的] 探究粮食新质生产力及其耦合协调性在粮食功能区的分布及差异,对推进我国粮食新质生产力发展、保障粮食安全具有重要意义。[方法] 基于2012-2022年中国30个省份面板数据,运用熵值-TOPSIS法、Dagum基尼系数和耦合协调度模型测算粮食新质生产力水平、障碍度及耦合协调度。[结果] (1) 我国粮食新质生产力水平稳定增长,各粮食功能区均有所提升,但存在“粮食主销区>粮食主产区>产销平衡区”的发展格局;分维度看,科技生产力和数字生产力在全国及各粮食功能区均显著提升,而绿色生产力相对平稳,有待发展;(2) 我国粮食新质生产力水平的总体差距逐渐扩大,粮食主销区内部差异以及粮食主销区与产销平衡区的区域间差异最大,地区间差异已成为粮食新质生产力总体差异的主要来源;(3) 我国粮食新质生产力耦合协调水平逐步提升,已由低度耦合协调转变为中度耦合协调,但粮食产销平衡区的耦合协调水平仍相对较低;(4) 粮食新质生产力耦合协调空间结构呈现出向粮食主产区和粮食主销区高度聚集态势,冷点显著区集中于产销平衡区。[结论] 据此,建议加大对粮食产销平衡区的研发投入,重点推进绿色生产力的发展,并鼓励产销平衡区与粮食主销区、主销区之间的空间联动,以推进粮食新质生产力的整体耦合协调发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Exploring the distribution and differences of grain new quality productivity and its coupled coordination in grain functional areas is of great significance for promoting the development of grain new quality productivity and guaranteeing food security in China. [Methods] Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022, the entropy-TOPSIS method, Dagum Gini coefficient and coupled coordination degree model were applied to measure the level of grain new quality productivity, the degree of obstacles and the degree of coupled coordination. [Results] (1) The level of new grain productivity in China has been growing steadily, and it has been improved in all grain functional areas, but there is a development pattern of “grain main marketing area > grain main production area > grain production and marketing balance area”; in terms of dimensions, scientific and technological productivity and digital productivity have increased significantly in the whole country and in all grain functional areas, while the green productivity has been relatively stable and needs to be developed; (2) The level of new grain productivity has been improved by the entropy-TOPSIS method, the Dagum Gini coefficient and the coupling coordination degree model. (2) The overall gap in the level of new quality productivity of grain in China has gradually widened, and the differences within the main grain marketing areas and the inter-regional differences between the main grain marketing areas and the balance of production and marketing areas are the largest, and the inter-regional differences have become the main source of the overall differences in the new quality productivity of grain; (3) The level of coupling and coordination of the new quality productivity of grain in China has gradually increased, and it has been transformed from the low degree of coupling and coordination to the medium degree of coupling and coordination, but the coupling and coordination in the balance of production and marketing areas has been reduced to the medium degree of coupling and coordination. production and marketing balance area is still relatively low; (4) the spatial structure of grain new quality productivity coupling and coordination shows a high degree of aggregation to the main grain production area and the main grain marketing area, and the significant cold spot area is concentrated in the production and marketing balance area. [Conclusion] Accordingly, it is recommended to increase R&D investment in grain production and marketing balance zones, focus on promoting the development of green productivity, and encourage spatial linkage between production and marketing balance zones and grain main marketing zones and main marketing zones, in order to promote the overall coupled and coordinated development of grain new quality productivity.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-20
  • 最后修改日期:2025-01-02
  • 录用日期:2025-01-03
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