“三位一体”视角下云南省耕地利用格局变化分析与风险评估
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1.昆明理工大学;2.云南省国土资源规划设计研究院;3.云南省国土资源规划设计研究院,昆明理工大学

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F301.2

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国家自然科学基金(42301304);云南省哲学社会科学研究基地项目(ZD202218)。


Analysis and risk assessment of cultivated land use pattern change in Yunnan Province from the perspective of the Trinity
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    摘要:

    [目的]多角度研究云南省耕地利用格局变化,划分耕地利用风险等级,为研究区耕地保护政策与管理策略提供依据,同时为其他地区耕地保护提供参考与借鉴。[方法]基于2011年、2021年土地利用调查数据,从耕地保护“数量-质量-生态”三位一体视角出发,利用景观指数、“压力—状态—响应”(PSR)模型等方法综合分析耕地利用格局变化特征,并依据其动态变化运用状态空间模型划分耕地利用风险等级。[结果](1)2011—2021年云南省耕地数量变化具有区域化差异,变化显著的区县呈现出“全局零散、局部聚集”的分布特征;(2) 耕地平均土层厚度下降,土壤有机质含量和阳离子交换能力有所提升;耕地PD上升1.251, AI和MSI下降5.672%和0.055,说明耕地破碎化程度加剧,集聚性减弱,斑块形状趋于规则;(3)耕地生态安全水平总体下降14.3512.67%,整体呈现“南高北低,中部两级化”的空间格局;(4)综合耕地利用动态变化对云南省进行耕地利用风险分区并提出调控建议。[结论]研究结果阐明了云南省耕地数量、质量和生态安全格局变化特征,测度了耕地利用风险并提供了管控措施,为云南省耕地可持续发展和粮食安全提供了一定的科学依据。

    Abstract:

    [Objective]This paper conducts a comprehensive analysis of the changes in cultivated land use patterns in Yunnan Province from multiple perspectives, classifies the risk levels of cultivated land use, and provides a basis for cultivated land protection policies and management strategies in the study area, while also offering references for cultivated land protection in other regions. [Methods] Utilizing land use survey data from 2011 and ?2021, and adopting a "quantity-quality-ecology" tripartite perspective, we comprehensively analyzed the characteristics of changes in cultivated land use patterns by employing landscape indices and the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model. Based on the state space model, we categorized the risk levels of cultivated land use. [Results] (1)Regional variations were observed in the changes of cultivated land quantity in Yunnan Province from 2011 to 2021, with districts and counties exhibiting significant changes displaying a distribution pattern characterized by "overall scattered and local aggregation"; (2)The degree of cultivated land fragmentation intensified, agglomeration weakened, and patch shapes became more regular; The average soil layer thickness of cultivated land decreased, the content of soil organic matter and cation exchange capacity increased, and the PD of cultivated land increased by 1.251, AI and MSI decreased by 5.672% and 0.055, indicating that the degree of farmland fragmentation increased, the agglomeration weakened, and the patch shape tended to be regular; (3)The overall level of ecological security of cultivated land declined, revealing a spatial pattern of "high in the south, low in the north, and polarized in the middle"; (4)Based on the dynamic changes in cultivated land, we conducted risk zoning for cultivated land use in Yunnan Province and proposed regulatory suggestions. [Conclusion]The research results clarified the change characteristics of the quantity, quality and ecological security pattern of cultivated land in Yunnan Province, measured the risk of cultivated land use and provided control measures, which provided a certain scientific basis for the sustainable development of cultivated land and food security in Yunnan Province.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-17
  • 最后修改日期:2024-12-30
  • 录用日期:2024-12-30
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