汾河流域耕地利用碳排放效率与粮食安全耦合协调时空演变及驱动因素
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山西师范大学地理科学学院

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S17;K90

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山西省哲学社会科学规划课题;山西省自然科学研究面上项目


Spatial-temporal evolution and driving factors of coupling coordination between carbon emission efficiency of cultivated land use and food security in Fenhe River Basin
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1.College of Geography,Shanxi Normal University,Taiyuan,Shanxi,030031;2.China

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    摘要:

    [目的]针对耕地利用碳减排与粮食生产之间突出的结构性矛盾,本文以山西省汾河流域为例,探讨耕地利用碳排放效率与粮食安全耦合协调的时空演变特征及其驱动因素,为提升耕地利用碳排放效率与粮食安全水平提供决策支持。[方法]利用非期望产出超效率SBM模型和熵权法分别对2005-2021年汾河流域耕地利用碳排放效率与粮食安全进行测度及时空特征分析,在此基础上运用耦合协调度模型和参数最优地理探测器探讨了二者的耦合协调性及其驱动因素。[结果]①耕地利用碳排放效率各县差异明显,大部分县区仍处于中低等效率。②汾河流域粮食安全水平整体呈“上升—下降—回升”的趋势;高值区主要集中在东北部以及南部地区,低值区主要位于汾河流域上游、太原市区以及灵霍山峡地区。③汾河流域耕地利用碳排放效率与粮食安全的耦合协调水平总体偏低,空间上呈现“上游低、中下游高”的分布特征。处于失调衰退阶段的县区主要以碳排放效率滞后型为主,处于过渡发展阶段的县区主要以粮食安全滞后型为主。④人均耕地面积、城市化率和人口规模是影响碳排放效率与粮食安全耦合协调水平的主要驱动因子。[结论]研究结果可为汾河流域乃至中国其他粮食产销平衡区实现低碳农业绿色协调发展提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    [Objective]In response to the prominent structural contradiction between carbon emission reduction of cultivated land use and food production, the study takes the Fenhe River Basin in Shanxi Province as an example to explore the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of the coupling coordination between carbon emission efficiency of cultivated land use and food security, and provides decision support for improving the carbon emission efficiency of cultivated land use and food security level. [Methods]The undesired output super-efficiency SBM model and the entropy weight method were used to measure the carbon emission efficiency and food security in Fenhe River Basin from 2005 to 2021, and then the spatiotemporal characteristics were analyzed. On this basis, the coupling coordination and its driving factors were discussed by using the coupling coordination degree model and optimal parameters-based geographical detector model. [Results] (1) The carbon emission efficiency of cultivated land use varied significantly among counties, and most counties were still in the middle and low efficiency level. (2) The food security level in Fenhe River Basin showed a trend of “increase–decrease–rebound”; The high-value areas were mainly concentrated in the northeast and southern regions, while the low-value areas were mainly located in the upper reaches of the Fenhe River basin, the urban area of Taiyuan, and the gorge region of Linghuo Mountain. (3) The coupling coordination level between carbon emission efficiency and food security in Fenhe River Basin was relatively low, showing a spatial distribution characteristic of “low in the upstream and high in the middle and lower reaches”. Counties in the stage of imbalanced decline were mainly characterized by lagging carbon emission efficiency, while those in the transitional development stage were mainly characterized by lagging food security. (4) Per capita cultivated land area, urbanization rate and population size were the primary driving factors affecting the coupling coordination level between carbon emission efficiency and food security. [Conclusion]The results can provide a scientific basis for achieving the green and coordinated development of low-carbon agriculture in Fenhe River Basin and other grain production and marketing balance areas in China.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-18
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-26
  • 录用日期:2024-11-26
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