淮河生态经济带新型城镇化、经济发展与水生态环境耦合协调关系及其驱动因素
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F299.21,X24

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安徽省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目“淮河生态经济带生态系统耦合适应性研究”(SK2019ZD41);安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题(2021CX061)


Coupling and Coordination Relationship Between New Urbanization, Economic Development, and Ecological Water Environment in Huaihe River Economic Belt, and Their Driving Factors
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    摘要:

    [目的] 对淮河生态经济带新型城镇化、经济发展与水生态环境耦合协调关系及驱动因素进行研究,为该区水生态环境的生态建设与环境保护工作提供科学参考。[方法] 以淮河生态经济带作为研究区域,建立评价指标体系,运用耦合模型和面板数据模型,分析2010—2020年区域内三者间耦合协调度时空演变特征及影响因素。[结果] ① 2010—2020年淮河生态经济带新型城镇化、经济发展、水生态环境三系统综合水平均呈上升趋势,三系统耦合度处于高水平,耦合协调度等级不断提升,东部、北部、中西部的三系统变化趋势趋同,耦合协调度发展趋势与全域相似; ②对外开放、经济发展、产业结构、用水效率、政府、科技、人口和教育因素在不同程度上对全域与三地区的耦合协调度产生正负两方面作用。[结论] 在淮河生态经济带应该同时关注城镇化质量的提升,经济高质量发展和水生态环境保护,充分发挥正向因素作用,减少负向因素影响,实现三系统优质耦合协调发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The coupling coordination relationship and driving factors between new urbanization, economic development, and the ecological water environment in the Huaihe River economic belt were analyzed in order to provide a scientific reference for ecological construction and environmental protection in the region. [Methods] An evaluation index system was established for the Huaihe River economic belt. A coupling model and a panel data model were used to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree among the three systems from 2010 to 2020. [Results] ① From 2010 to 2020, the comprehensive levels of new urbanization, economic development, and the ecological water environment in the Huaihe River economic belt showed an upward trend, and the coupling coordination degree of the three systems was at a high level. The level of coupling coordination degree continued to increase, and the change trends of the three systems in the eastern, northern, and central-western regions converged, similar to the overall trend. ② Factors such as opening up to the outside world, economic development, industrial structure, water use efficiency, government, science and technology, population, and education had different degrees of coupling coordination for the entire region and for the three sub-regions. [Conclusion] The Huaihe River economic belt should simultaneously focus on improving the quality of urbanization, promoting high-quality economic development, and protecting the ecological water environment while fully utilizing positive factors, reducing the impact of negative factors, and achieving the high-quality coupling coordination development of the three systems.

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李明鸿,卢辞.淮河生态经济带新型城镇化、经济发展与水生态环境耦合协调关系及其驱动因素[J].水土保持通报,2023,43(6):282-293

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  • 收稿日期:2023-03-21
  • 最后修改日期:2023-05-30
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-01-29