1980-2020年洞庭湖流域土地利用变化及其碳效应
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F301.24

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湖南省自然科学基金项目“气候变化下洞庭湖流域耕地利用格局对水土资源平衡的影响机理及其调控研究”(2021JJ40352);河南省重点研发与推广专项(222102320299);湖南师范大学2022年大学生创新创业计划校级项目(2022059)


Land Use Change and Its Carbon Effect in Dongting Lake Basin During 1980-2020
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    摘要:

    [目的] 探查粮食主产区土地利用变化规律及其碳效应,为土地利用结构调整及低碳经济发展提供依据。[方法] 基于1980,2000,2020年3期土地利用现状数据,在网格采样法、土地利用动态度模型、碳排放系数法以及空间自相关分析模型支持下,揭示1980年以来洞庭湖流域土地利用变化规律及其碳效应的空间异质性特征。[结果] ①洞庭湖流域土地利用阶段性变化。1980—2000年综合动态度为0.02%,其中动态度最大的是建设用地,未利用地次之。2000—2020年综合动态度增至0.18%,建设用地面积增长加快。②净碳效应表现为碳汇,但由1980年的5.93×107 t下降到2020年2.82×107 t,而由土地利用变化引起的碳效应呈现碳排放变化量大于碳汇变化量特点,并导致净碳排放量增加了6.08×105 t,且空间上净碳排放相对高值区呈“H”型分布特点,低值区逐渐扩张。③洞庭湖流域集水小区净碳排放的空间自相关性特征显著。1980—2000年主要聚集类型为高—高型和低—低型,低—高型分布零散,2000—2020年高—高型分布更加集中连片,低—低型主要在湘江流域北部。[结论] 在洞庭湖流域,应坚持“碳增汇,碳减排”定位,保持林地的碳汇稳定状态,科学引导高碳排放土地的开发利用,并依据空间自相关特点关注不同集水区的碳排放“同化”作用。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] The land use change pattern and its carbon effect in the main grain producing areas were investigated in order to provide a basis for restructuring land use and for low carbon economic development.[Methods] We used multi-period land use status data supported by the grid sampling method, a land use dynamic attitude model, a carbon emission coefficient method, and a spatial autocorrelation analysis model to determine the spatial heterogeneity characteristics of land use change patterns and their carbon effect in the Dongting Lake basin since 1980.[Results] ① Land use in the Dongting Lake basin changed in stages, with a comprehensive dynamic attitude of 0.02% from 1980 to 2000. During this time, the largest dynamic attitude was construction land, followed by unused land. The comprehensive dynamic attitude increased to 0.18% from 2000 to 2020, with accelerated growth in the area of construction land. ② The net carbon effect was manifested as a carbon sink, from 5.93×107 t in 1980 to 2.82×107 t in 2020, while the carbon effect caused by land use change showed that the change in carbon emissions was greater than the change in carbon sinks, leading to an increase in net carbon emissions of 6.08×105 t. High value net carbon emissions were distributed in an "H" shape, and the low value emissions area expanded gradually. ③ The spatial autocorrelation of net carbon emissions in the Dongting Lake catchment area was significant. The main aggregation types were high-high and low-low from 1980 to 2000. The low-high type was scattered, and the high-high type was more concentrated and contiguous from 2000 to 2020, while the low-low type was mainly found in the northern part of the Xiangjiang River basin.[Conclusion] In Dongting Lake basin, people should maintain the orientation of "increasing carbon sinks and reducing carbon emissions", maintain the stable state of carbon sinks in forest land, scientifically guide the development and use of land with high carbon emissions, and give attention to the "assimilation" of carbon emissions in different catchment areas according to the characteristics of spatial autocorrelation.

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杨扬,周浩,文高辉,夏卫生,罗梦怡.1980-2020年洞庭湖流域土地利用变化及其碳效应[J].水土保持通报,2023,43(3):390-397

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  • 收稿日期:2022-12-29
  • 最后修改日期:2023-02-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-08-16
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