Abstract:Simulation of the changes of land use structure is one of the most important components in land use planning.In this study,a dynamic model of land use change was constructed based on dynamic modeling theory,and the thorough knowledge of the land use change and the driving forces.Taken Jiangning District of Nanjing City as an example,the scenarios of land use were simulated between 2006 and 2020.The simulation results showed that the model predicted well the past and future land use structure change in the study area.